Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.019848 1.280875 1.570071 1.911000 2.298712 2.722865 3.218892
2025-02-09 0.564203 0.866824 1.244835 1.736817 2.345724 3.061095 3.951398
2025-02-16 0.312762 0.606428 1.023821 1.621753 2.419714 3.414388 4.714198
2025-02-23 0.182662 0.456921 0.901129 1.595636 2.583373 3.874067 5.624504
2025-03-02 0.097839 0.334976 0.779752 1.539478 2.686741 4.250590 6.440538
2025-03-09 0.062641 0.285892 0.758820 1.622333 2.982987 4.891849 7.622173
2025-03-16 0.032853 0.223509 0.693171 1.617901 3.143005 5.347290 8.568460
2025-03-23 0.021178 0.201798 0.699738 1.732193 3.486544 6.070654 9.897650
2025-03-30 0.011919 0.175302 0.686884 1.807007 3.768791 6.713196 11.131006
2025-04-06 0.005386 0.145642 0.655675 1.840573 3.982480 7.259444 12.241150
2025-04-13 0.001325 0.109391 0.591537 1.797804 4.062320 7.605088 13.072447
2025-04-20 0.000234 0.089083 0.562698 1.820062 4.249831 8.115107 14.146568
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.073028 0.540908 1.856781 4.469436 8.689750 15.341578
2025-05-04 NaN 0.050072 0.478524 1.791790 4.501991 8.974253 16.120973
2025-05-11 NaN 0.032977 0.422461 1.728910 4.530530 9.249971 16.891202
2025-05-18 NaN 0.023965 0.394972 1.730456 4.677666 9.717669 17.955349
2025-05-25 NaN 0.015039 0.353488 1.686001 4.730883 10.031925 18.792853
2025-06-01 NaN 0.013432 0.362607 1.782171 5.065352 10.816254 20.356339
2025-06-08 NaN 0.009024 0.339483 1.781705 5.205093 11.279888 21.437307
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008737 0.357614 1.905938 5.603312 12.183780 23.206516
2025-06-22 NaN 0.007390 0.361466 1.986967 5.915429 12.948447 24.771196
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005372 0.351480 2.023417 6.136151 13.562620 26.111430
2025-07-06 NaN 0.002745 0.318035 1.978158 6.181948 13.878995 26.993126